Bikee?

To imagine you wrote this sentence by purpose.

I care about my friends. I care about the goals, concerns, trials, joys, and more. I listen and I dig deeper. If I don't care about they did, I questions that reveal how it made them feel.

Now that's a lot of emotional labor, but for a select few confidants, I am more than happy to that work. It bonds us and makes each other feel seen and connected.

Voodoo Donuts in Portland used to have a contest for stacking donuts on your peen.

Here is the paywalled Economist article and an archive that does a poor job of capturing the image.

From what I'm reading if may have some positive effect on voter share and possibly a negative effect on voter turnout. And that positive messages have have a positive effect on turnout. Isn't that the claim meme?

And, historically, Democrats win with greater turnout. At least as far as I'm aware.

Disclaimer: I've only spent 20 minutes on this. A properly measured response would take longer.

References

How Much Do Campaign Ads Matter?

The researchers found that, in the 2000 election, allowing only positive ads would have increased overall voter turnout from 50.4 percent to 52.4 percent. Meanwhile, airing only negative ads would have decreased turnout to 48.8 percent. The gap between the all-positive and all-negative scenarios was about 10 million voters.

“That’s pretty big,” Gordon says. “It does suggest that negative ads might have a detrimental effect” on election participation.

The Effects of Negative Political Campaigns: A Meta-Analytic Reassessment

This 2007 meta analysis is the most recent meta analysis I could find. It throws into question both claims, that negative ad have a positive effect on voter and negative effect on turnout. There's been a lot of studies since then, but this still gets cited.

The conventional wisdom about negative political campaigning holds that it works, i.e., it has the consequences its practitioners intend. Many observers also fear that negative campaigning has unintended but detrimental effects on the political system itself. An earlier meta-analytic assessment of the relevant literature found no reliable evidence for these claims, but since then the research literature has more than doubled in size and has greatly improved in quality. We reexamine this literature and find that the major conclusions from the earlier meta-analysis still hold. All told, the research literature does not bear out the idea that negative campaigning is an effective means of winning votes, even though it tends to be more memorable and stimulate knowledge about the campaign. Nor is there any reliable evidence that negative campaigning depresses voter turnout, though it does slightly lower feelings of political efficacy, trust in government, and possibly overall public mood.

Positive Spillovers from Negative Campaigning

Negative advertising is frequent in electoral campaigns, despite its ambiguous effectiveness: Negativity may reduce voters' evaluation of the targeted politician but may have a backlash effect for the attacker. We study the effect of negative advertising in electoral races with more than two candidates with a large‐scale field experiment during an electoral campaign for mayor in Italy and a survey experiment in a fictitious mayoral campaign. In our field experiment, we find a strong, positive spillover effect on the third main candidate (neither the target nor the attacker). This effect is confirmed in our survey experiment, which creates a controlled environment with no ideological components or strategic voting. The negative ad has no impact on the targeted incumbent, has a sizable backlash effect on the attacker, and largely benefits the idle candidate. The attacker is perceived as less cooperative, less likely to lead a successful government, and more ideologically extreme.

I don't know why you're being down voted. The Financial Times laid out the same dire situation yesterday. The New York Times said it two days ago. The best she can do in the first term is play defense and home the ground game gets good. But it's a hard position to be in because people are looking to either winners change. Without legislation, I don't know how she can do that.

I'm trying to find studied that show it isn't statistically different from a placebo, but doesn't seem to be well studied. Can anyone share some well designed studies?

Huh... So that's what Bansky looks like.

I wish I had a friend who could just be there while I tried to get it set up. Honestly, I'd peroxide pizza, beer, and video games just so I don't collapse in a mess of confusion and self doubt when something goes wrong. I don't mind doing the work, but I don't know if I have the patience to figure it all out.

I'm not much of wine drinker myself, but I once did a chef menu with the wine pairing. Every two dishes, they'd bring out a new glass of wine. It was kind blowing how the would taste one way with the first dish and a completely different way with the second dish. I'm not sure I can tell the difference between a $12 bottle and $40 bottle, but in that one meal i understood two things: first, if you know what your doing, wine and food pairings can be magical and, second, I don't know what I'm doing.

Many down ballot positions are unopposed where I live. Of course, I think you only are talking about national seats.

The utility, then, is to note that safe seats operate similarly to unopposed seats especially when it comes to funding by national parties.

I don't follow.

A vote cast for an unopposed candidate is a vote that doesn't matter, right?

There are 100 senators.
66 are not on the ballot in 2024.
Of the 34 remaining, 23 are safe and 2 are likely.
That leaves 9 seats. 7 are leaning one way or the other.
2 are toss ups, Ohio and Montana. Vote if live there. Probably even the leaning 7. But the rest...?

As an aside, if all the leans break the way they are leaning, Dems have to hold the two toss ups to have a 50-50 Senate.

Sounds like you had a wonderful patient who was grateful for you doing your craft. Do a compliment sandwich, but do it sincerely.

Complement Boundary Complement

"Oh my. I'm flattered. Thank you, but I'm not comfortable with that right now. You've been a wonderful patient and I enjoyed working with you too."

This is just an example of the compliment sandwich structure and you should adjust the wording to serve you.

As for the phone number, just tell him that you were doing your job and seeing him better is all the reward you need. Again, adjust the wording for your truth.

Nixon was for stronger gun control even supporting a total handgun ban. Similarly Regan was as governor. Row v. Wade was largely seen as sensible by Republicans when it was determined. Nixon also signed OSHA.

Sort of sounds like a take on the Italian salsa verde. I'd do some research on whether or not fried garlic will prevent botcolism from forming. It's a risk when making garlic infused oil. The other thing I'd worry about is the less sturdy greens wilting.

You might want to look into he European red pepper sauces likes Mojo Pican, Hungarian ajivar, or romanesco for inspiration.

Good luck and I hope you make something delicious.

The author's photo is of her holding two oranges in one hand. I have unexpected joy from this.

The actual crime rates are probably much closer to the equivalent crime rates of the cities and neighborhoods that align to with their own economic status

I was not defending the stats. I was critiquing your analysis and the conclusion you reached.

There's a lot of assumptions here.

Significant isn't specific. A specific number would give us an idea if the rate of crime committed by undocumented persons exceeds, meets, or continues to fall short of the other two groups.

Next, you're assuming that the victims of violent crimes by undocumented workers are other undocumented workers. This, to some degree makes sense. But it's not 100%.

Next, poverty in of itself isn't sufficient to predict rates of crime. Crime is a choice taken when there aren't other avenues available. Arguably, the reasons undocumented peoples move here is because their prospects are better here. That is to say, they chose to leave their people to come here instead of staying there and commiting crime. This isn't, obviously, specific. But it's a factor you didn't consider.

Finally, what do you mean by class? There's a lot of usages.

This isn't an argument to say you are wrong. It's an argument that you have been specific or open to other factors.